I won't blog about basketball very often, because the honest truth is that it isn't my strong point. It is not a favorite sport of mine, and I'm not extremely knowledgeable about it. I hope to improve in that regard; get to know the players and the teams better over the next few years - but for now, blogging on something I know very little about just isn't good for anyone. It'll make me look like a buffoon (like I need help), and it will give you lackluster reading material. As such, I'll only blog about basketball when it is actually (in my opinion at least) somewhat interesting information that I have some legitimate input on.
Because as I was checking baseball and hockey scores, I accidentally skimmed through the NBA scores; and saw that the Lakers had lost to the Suns (not surprising), the Clippers had beaten the Trailblazers (not surprising), and the Warriors had beaten the Kings (not surprising).
What was a little surprising, though, was that all three went the way they should have. Because even if the Lakers had an 80% chance of losing and the Clippers and Warriors had an 80% chance of winning (I'm just making these numbers up here to make a point), the odds of all three happening would be .80 X .80 X .80; .512, about a coin flip.
SO, heads is interesting playoff race, tails is uninteresting playoff race. Flip. Heads.
It is a VERY real possibility that these teams end in a 3 way tie for the 7th, 8th, and 9th spots in the west. Unlikely, sure, but not out of the question.
The 40 - 40 Lakers face Seattle at home, then head to Sacramento to close out their regular season. The Lakers couldn't lose to Seattle if they tried. As for Sacramento, the Lakers absolutely should win that game too. But it is a division rival on a division rival's home court, and as Kansas City Chief's Herm Edwards coined and my brother loves to repeat, "You don't play just to play." Sacramento will be playing their hardest, and upsetting the ice-cold Lakers would not be one of the craziest things in sports history.
The 39 - 40 Warriors have games left at home against Minnesota and Dallas, and on the road against Portland. Yes, Warriors fans, I've heard a million times that you "match up well against Dallas. Your still going to lose that game. Minnesota and Portland are winnable games though, and would put the Warriors to 41 - 41.
The 39 - 40 Clippers have Sacramento, @Phoenix, and the New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets to end their season. Much like the Warriors, they should lose their game to the superior opponent and beat the two inferior opponents. Guess what record that leaves them with?
Or, perhaps the Mavs and Suns rest starters, seeing as they don't need these games and are already focusing on the playoffs, and the Warriors, Clippers, and Lakers all win out the season; and all end up 42 - 40.
Either way, a 3 way tie is not too far fetched.
So who would make it in? Drum roll, please!
Lakers VS. Warriors: LAKERS get the tiebreaker, as they won the season series between the two teams 4 - 0 (think the Warriors want a few of those games back?)
Lakers VS. Clippers: LAKERS get the tiebreaker, season series tied at 2 - 2 , so it comes down to conference record, which the Lakers have better.
Warriors VS. Clippers: WARRIORS get the tiebreaker, season series tied at 2 - 2, and the Warriors have fared better in-conference.
So a 3 way tie would send the Clippers home golfing.
Where, of course, the Lakers and Warriors would join them in a few weeks when they get crushed by Dallas and Phoenix in the postseason.
Saturday, April 14, 2007
Oh no... the Ducks are really good... among other reflections.
We'll start with hockey. (Shocking, I know)
I'm not saying that this series against the Wild is over and done with; the Wild are an excellent home team and still have time to make a series out of it. But lets be serious... the Ducks really are the best of the West. They've got the defense. They've got the offense. And scarier, they've got the defense that can contribute offensively and the offense that can contribute defensively. I've said it plenty of times before and I'll say it again, the West is so tough that you can't take any team in it lightly. But with the Sharks losing Cheechoo, I've officially switched gears into believing that the Ducks are, as so many pre-season experts predicted, the team to beat in the West (have I mentioned that yet?). I just hope for the sake of Kings fans everywhere that one of the teams in the West can put a hot streak together and keep this team out of the finals... but I'm not too sure I'll be holding my breath.
Shout outs in the NHL:
Ilya Bryzgalov - Came into the season as half of a goaltending tandem with no decided #1, he took the backseat as Giguere took the #1 position at the beginning of the year and held on to it strongly. Now, with Giguere out for personal reasons, Bryzalov has filled in masterfully, giving the Ducks a clear cut advantage through the first two games of this series.
JP Dumont - As disgusted as I am with the Predators and their dirty hits in the last two games, 4 goals is 4 goals. Dumont has brought his A-game in these young playoffs, and has 4 goals in 2 games to show for it.
Marty Turco - Dallas's whipping boy and "playoff choke artist" outshone Roberto Luongo en route to a 35 save shutout Friday night, perhaps taking the next step towards shushing his critics.
Shout outs in the MLB:
Roy "The Doc" Halladay - Plenty of pitchers can go an outing only giving up 6 hits. But how about going 10 innings with only 107 pitches and 1 earned run while you are at it? Scary to think that he probably would have pitched the 11th if one had been necessary, too.
Scott Kazmir - Out dueled the best pitcher in baseball; Johan Santana. 8 IP, 6 hits, 2 runs, and 6 Ks got the job done in this impressive upset performance.
Eric Gagne - His return to the bigs featured a fastball at around 94 - 95 miles per hour, a K, and a save. Hate to see him in anything but a Dodger uniform, but all the same, would love to see him defy the odds and stay healthy.
Carlos Lee - Multiple times every season, Roy Oswalt pitches brilliantly, only to get no run support and the loss. In an ultra-rare turn of events, the exact opposite happened; Oswalt had a bad outing, but got a ton of run support and the victory. The main reason? Carlos Lee, who hit two solo shots and one grand slam. That's a pretty good day.
I'll weigh in on the NBA playoff race tomorrow, but for now, it is time to sleep.
I'm not saying that this series against the Wild is over and done with; the Wild are an excellent home team and still have time to make a series out of it. But lets be serious... the Ducks really are the best of the West. They've got the defense. They've got the offense. And scarier, they've got the defense that can contribute offensively and the offense that can contribute defensively. I've said it plenty of times before and I'll say it again, the West is so tough that you can't take any team in it lightly. But with the Sharks losing Cheechoo, I've officially switched gears into believing that the Ducks are, as so many pre-season experts predicted, the team to beat in the West (have I mentioned that yet?). I just hope for the sake of Kings fans everywhere that one of the teams in the West can put a hot streak together and keep this team out of the finals... but I'm not too sure I'll be holding my breath.
Shout outs in the NHL:
Ilya Bryzgalov - Came into the season as half of a goaltending tandem with no decided #1, he took the backseat as Giguere took the #1 position at the beginning of the year and held on to it strongly. Now, with Giguere out for personal reasons, Bryzalov has filled in masterfully, giving the Ducks a clear cut advantage through the first two games of this series.
JP Dumont - As disgusted as I am with the Predators and their dirty hits in the last two games, 4 goals is 4 goals. Dumont has brought his A-game in these young playoffs, and has 4 goals in 2 games to show for it.
Marty Turco - Dallas's whipping boy and "playoff choke artist" outshone Roberto Luongo en route to a 35 save shutout Friday night, perhaps taking the next step towards shushing his critics.
Shout outs in the MLB:
Roy "The Doc" Halladay - Plenty of pitchers can go an outing only giving up 6 hits. But how about going 10 innings with only 107 pitches and 1 earned run while you are at it? Scary to think that he probably would have pitched the 11th if one had been necessary, too.
Scott Kazmir - Out dueled the best pitcher in baseball; Johan Santana. 8 IP, 6 hits, 2 runs, and 6 Ks got the job done in this impressive upset performance.
Eric Gagne - His return to the bigs featured a fastball at around 94 - 95 miles per hour, a K, and a save. Hate to see him in anything but a Dodger uniform, but all the same, would love to see him defy the odds and stay healthy.
Carlos Lee - Multiple times every season, Roy Oswalt pitches brilliantly, only to get no run support and the loss. In an ultra-rare turn of events, the exact opposite happened; Oswalt had a bad outing, but got a ton of run support and the victory. The main reason? Carlos Lee, who hit two solo shots and one grand slam. That's a pretty good day.
I'll weigh in on the NBA playoff race tomorrow, but for now, it is time to sleep.
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